Best of August 2026
84% of the talking has a confirmed speaker.
Data center market failures 0:06
Discussion of how regulated, restructured, and free‑market electricity systems expose ratepayers to risk from data‑center demand forecasts.
All right, all right, all right. Hello everyone. This is Volts for September 4th, 2026, the best of August. I'm your host, . So last month we tried something new around here. a compilation of clips from the month's episodes strung together in a single place so that listeners could scan and see what they might have missed. I asked at the end of that one whether you found it worthwhile and useful, and many of you wrote in to say that you did. So we're going to make it a regular feature. Here's how it will work. Every month there's a best of episode. Paid subscribers get early access, and when the next one comes out, the previous one opens up to everyone. The July edition is open now. So if you haven't heard it, or you know somebody who's been meaning to check out the show, that's the one to send them. As for August, it was wide-ranging, which is how I like it. Data centers twice from opposite ends, including state lawmakers dealing with them and companies Trying to improve them. Grid cybersecurity, public EV charging, the surprising run of bipartisan housing bills out of , why utilities can't seem to adopt anything new, what a future administration ought to do with the tools this one is busy beating us over the head with, and a listener favorite out of . As always, I deeply appreciate all of you who support this work by becoming a paid subscriber. This podcast is 100% listener supported. I could not do it without you. All right then, with no further ado. We begin with of on why a variety of electricity markets are failing on data centers and How states could do better. One point that I think is important in the paper, and that is interesting to me, is that these risks, they're not necessarily unique to a particular kind of market design. You know, as, as Volt's listeners know, there are vertically integrated utilities some places. There's what are called restructured markets, there's , whatever ERCOT is. One of the points you make in the paper is that people are making kind of mistakes. There's this kind of the same failure pattern shows up in all kinds of market designs. Can you walk through that a little bit? Maybe some examples of like the different places that are messing this up?
Sure. Yeah. So we, and as part of our paper, we looked at 3 different markets that operate within 3 different states. And so if you start with , which is the example of a regulated energy market,
right? Old school, vertically integrated.
Old school, vertically integrated. I think those of which most people would sort of be most familiar with and think about when they think about utility structure. And so what we saw in is that the approved a major gas expansion really built on justification that was derived from developer-supplied forecasts. And so in that instance, the process worked exactly as it should. There was nothing sort of bad faith about it, but it still created a situation where ratepayers had significantly exposure, cost exposure, if those demand projections ultimately fell short.
Right. So the ratepayers are paying for the gas, the gas plant buildout, and if the demand doesn't show up to absorb all that gas buildout, it's the ratepayers who are paying for the stranded assets, basically.
Exactly.
And then though, PJM is a, is a competitive market, restructured market. Talk through that one a little bit.
Yeah. So what we are seeing in a state like is, is that you can have a single hyperscale campus being brought online. FactAt the, the cases that we looked at, it was 30% of local peak demand within that particular region. And that triggered a capacity market event, which ultimately resulted in, as you've, if people have been following the PJM sort of issue that you're seeing sort of historical capacity prices year over year. And so what we are seeing there is, is that similar, the process worked exactly as it should, but by triggering that capacity market event, you had states all across the 13-state footprint that PJM covers having to take on some of the cost that was associated with bringing a new facility online when they had no say in actual decision-making around whether or not that facility will be approved.
Yeah. Who pays? This comes up again and again. And then there's finally , which people, you know, I think which people think of intuitively as like sort of the most free market, closest thing to a free market type of system. And they might think, well, in that kind of market, surely You know, it's the developer who takes the risk if it's, you know, really working like a free market. But it turns out there's failures there too. Talk about that one real quick.
Yeah, exactly. I mean, what we also know is as we are confronting this new period of technological innovation, we are also operating within a much more volatile climate than what we have historically had. And so in the case, we saw hyperscale growth colliding with extreme weather events. And so some of the emergency programs and gas dispatching that had to be put in place to meet that emergency event added billions in surplus charges that really surfaced as price volatility, but wasn't actually visible as a line item on any individual ratepayer's bills that said, you know, this was driven by hyperscale growth.
Right, right. It shows up as price volatility in the market, which is absorbed by everybody who's involved in the market.
Exactly.
And so all these kind of come down to who is taking the risk and who is paying the price. So in all these cases, you take data centers' demand forecasts, these developer demand forecasts, translate them into a bunch of costs, right, to anticipate meeting that need. And it is the ratepayers ultimately who are paying those costs to prepare. So in other words, it's the ratepayers who are taking on that risk. It's the ratepayers who are paying. And then if the developer forecasts don't pan out, the ratepayers are stuck with it. That's like, that's kind of the core theme through all those market Despite the market structures.
OpinionThat is the core theme that ultimately this comes down to who's taking on the risk and who's capturing the value.
Chinese inverter cybersecurity 7:48
Explains the presence of undocumented components in Chinese‑made solar inverters and the challenges of securing them through software controls.
Next up, we have , cybersecurity expert on the Chinese inverters that everyone is worried about. As I think people probably know, most inverters, you know, we're talking about inverter-based resources. Yep. Most inverters come from right now. There was this big investigation in 2025, which said that inspectors found all kinds of little undocumented communication devices inside solar inverters. In batteries. And I guess like 2 questions. A, what do you do about what I imagine are now hundreds of thousands, if not millions of those Chinese inverters that are already installed somewhere and running? Like you can't yank 'em all out. You can't, there's no practical way to audit them all. What do you do about those? And then what do you do about the new ones? You, as you say, we, have no jurisdiction over China. Like, how do we exercise any control over what China puts in those inverters?
Yeah, I'm going to keep this at a non-technical level because it gets really technical really fast. So in general, you're absolutely right. There's millions of these things out there and they do have a lot of undocumented communications components in them. But I want to make sure we're really understanding what that means without any hype whatsoever. When manufactures a lot of this equipment, they literally do it on what's called a commodity board. So you can imagine in your mind like a motherboard, right? It's a computer component where the chips and the memory and all those things sit, and they'll buy literally millions of these at once.
Yeah.
And they'll buy them from a commodity manufacturer that just makes these you know, boards, literally like generic board.
Right.
And on that board, it'll have all the things just in case you need them, whether you use them or not. They don't buy specific boards with just these components. So when they, I mean, 99% of the ones I've seen that they've gone out and found stuff, it's just been the commodity board. Yes, it came with a radio, it came with a modem, it came with a place for a SIM card. There wasn't a SIM card inserted, but it has all those components on there in case the buyer of these commodity boards wants to use that. Functionality.
I see. I see. So not nefarious inclusion of these, right?
Not necessarily. So whenever you see those, you kind of have to take that with a grain of salt and think, well,
right,
if there's millions of these things out there, did they just use commodity gear? And they're just not, you know, this is just part of the board that maybe it's used, maybe it's not. And now they have found some of these things phoning home and, you know, the routing traffic through . So that's a different discussion. That's at the software level. You know, where the applications that you're using to manage these devices and that kind of stuff. So those are, those are different components. And we, there's some supply chain there that we can impose because it's software, right? We can inspect code. Hmm. RecommendsWe can enforce certain rules on how code is developed and what's, you know, certain, like transparency of the code. We need to look at the code before we're willing to allow it. These kinds of things. And we're not just going to let updates from China happen without Someone taking a look at it before it goes in, those kinds of things. So there are some gates we can put in place.
You say there might be these elements on the boards just because the boards are sort of generic and created for maybe lots of different purposes. Could those, could those components of the board that aren't being used be activated later? Do you know what I mean? Sort of remotely activated. Like that's, I guess, is the worry.
Yeah, they're, they're there. And they could be activated, but they'd have to have, I mean, you could activate them, but you'd also have to configure them. Like, it's hard to explain, but when you, when just because you turn something on doesn't mean it's ready to be used.
Right, right.
Like even a phone, you can turn a phone on, but you have to give it a SIM card that's got an activation code that's got, you know, all these things have to happen before it'll actually work on a cell network. I mean, you could get a phone out of the box and turn it on and it just doesn't do anything. So those, those pieces of gear are there. That doesn't mean even if you did enable it, that it would automatically work.
Right, right.
So it does, it, it, it ups the ante in terms of just like flipping a switch and getting this like rogue network of these things to go do stuff.
Idaho affordable housing 12:21
Idaho legislators discuss the high cost of homes and challenges faced by residents trying to find affordable housing.
Then on to , where legislators and explain how each of them got radicalized On the subject of housing. Nothing radicalizes people about housing in America more than trying to build something. Tell us how you sort of came to be engaged on this issue.
Yeah, certainly. We recognized that there's a serious issue with affordable housing, especially for the next generation to own their own home. FactThe cost in our area is around $550,000 on average for a single-family dwelling. And so Back in 2020, we purchased a small piece of land. It had a PUD, so it had 20 units already set up to be built on it. And it was going to be small homes, probably average 1,000 square feet. The range would be 700 to 1,200 square feet, and it was on small lots. And I was like, we can sell these. We're open to sell these in the $300,000 range. Open the door for the next generation to be able to get into a house. And partway through the process, the city came back to us and we went to renew the PUD and they said, sorry, you can't do that. There's new green space requirements and your plans don't match those requirements. And so they shut the whole project down. And so it was very frustrating. I wasn't in the legislature at the time, But I saw it as a real issue back then and I, and it just became more and more of an issue.
Awesome. And Megan, same question to you. You were a librarian for many years and then became a lawyer, an employment lawyer, and were appointed to the legislature a few years ago and then ran and won your seat. What brought you to the housing issue specifically?
FactYeah, it was actually during the pandemic. Myself, like many other Idahoans, were faced with no childcare while we were still trying to work, which was a very frustrating experience that I know many can relate to. And I have the fortunate ability of having a mother-in-law, father-in-law who live out of state, who are retired, who were willing to look for a home here to help with childcare during this time. And I think that that was the first eye-opening experience for me was, you know, they were moving from Chicago, or in theory were willing to move from Chicago to to be close to family. And there was just no options. It was not even a possibility to move here during that time. And then, you know, the second thing that has happened is I have older children. My oldest is 20 years old. She works in the medical field. She works in a hospital that's about, you know, a 20-minute drive from our house. And she recently, she's still living at home, started looking for a studio apartment, you know, in a suburb of our capital city here, , and cannot find a studio apartment that costs less than my mortgage for a 4-bedroom house. And so I think there's just 2 examples of why this, you know, became so important to me. And then mostly it's just because this is the most important issue facing Idahoans right now. We know this from multiple surveys and just from our own conversations with people is that Idahoans are getting priced out of living in Idaho.
Well, let me stick with you for a second, Megan. I want to hear a little bit about this Committee, this Interim Housing Study Committee, uh, you were on. This was modeled on a similar committee they set up in Montana. I'm sort of curious, you have this room, you have these free market North Republicans, you got Democrats, you got realtors, home builders, a developer, and the apartment association, the city of Boise. It kind of sounds like the setup for a joke. I'm sort of, I'm very curious how that went down in the room, how that felt in the room and sort of like what you learned through that experience that you didn't know going in.
Yeah, it was an amazing experience. I will say though, I came to it late. I took somebody's spot on the committee, um, when they stepped down from the legislature. So I was trying to do double duty of catching up. I think the beauty of the committee comes in is exactly though what you were just explaining of, you know, how different the perspectives were that were on it. And, you know, I myself, although am technically a Democrat, I probably find myself agreeing more with the free market North Idahoans on many, many issues, this being one of them probably. And I was mentioning before we started here, I grew up in North . And it was eye-opening for me, I think, that we got to travel the state with this one perspective that we were looking at, right?
Hmm.
So we have industry folks, we have legislators, we have cities, counties, we have representatives from everywhere, and we got to travel the state and look at this one problem. And I think the most eye-opening part for me was that It became very clear that this is not a problem. This is not a Coeur d'Alene problem. This is a statewide problem. And I think anybody who participated in that committee would have to say the same thing. We can talk about local control all we want. Local control makes a lot of sense when something is simply a local problem. This, this is not.
IONNA charging network 18:31
Seth Cutler explains IONNA’s unique approach to building and customizing charging sites, including repurposed historic locations.
And here's of , the charging network owned by 8 automakers, on why one of their sites is technically a bakery. Final question about the sort of like amenities thing is, are these customized at all regionally or like based on whether it's in a city or on a highway somewhere like? I guess how much work is going into sort of customizing the experience on a location-based way?
StoryYeah, I mean, I think that's actually the fun part. So, you know, early on we said, we said, listen, we know we want to do things differently. We want to buy land. We want to build our own amenities. And in some cases we went and bought a greenfield piece of land. It was a, you know, a piece of dirt or grass, right? And we built, and our Houston rechargery is just that where we We built from the ground up an amenity and we customized it for that location. What could we fit there? Wanted to build no less than 8 charging bays. What could we fit? But what we could fit was 2 bathrooms, outdoor seating, vending machines. That's what we could fit. And we, and it's a great site and we know that because of how much people, how many people come on a daily basis. But then we went and we found other sites. Hey, this is a, you know, we found in our Apex, North Carolina location, which is just outside Raleigh, the suburb to Raleigh. We cut our first ribbon there. That was a 100-year-old gas station. We thought that would be, that'd be really cool, right? Let's take a 100-year-old gas station and make it the service station of the future.
It was closed down?
It was, yeah, it was closed. I mean, it was a service station that was opened in the early 1900s, shut down in the '60s or '70s and became a, I think they were selling kitchen granite top, right? When we took it over. So that was unique because we made that into an experience. That one has a local entrepreneur that sells baked goods out of that site. And the reason for that was because the zoning requirements meant that you couldn't have a refueling center, but you could have a local restaurant or bakery. So that's, so it's classified as just that. And
oh, so it's technically a bakery with charging chargers attached.
Exactly. Yep. 100%. Right. So that, so, so we've been very flexible as we work with cities and towns and very flexible with the types of sites that we're buying or leasing. To again, bring really great charging to customers. And we've done that. You know, there's like, there's a list of sites I can give you. Each one has a story of an old gas station, of an old natural gas station, of an old car dealership, of an old Subway restaurant that we've taken over and we've converted it to an Ionity rechargery.
Interesting. The chargers themselves, you're working with 8 automakers. I'm sure they all have their own apps. They all have their own gizmos. How do you make the, like the literally the plugging in and charging itself? How do you make that consistent across all those apps, across all those different kinds of vehicles, across the, the 2 basic kinds of hookups? What does the charger look like and what does the software look like and what is the experience like? Am I scanning a card? Am I tapping a card? Am I— You know, is it, is this something where it recognizes the car when I pull up and I don't have to do anything? What is the experience of charging itself like?
Yeah, well, I'll start with Factthe one thing you don't do is download an app because there is no IONNA app.
Oh, really? There's no separate app.
There's no app, you know, and there's no intention to make a mobile app. And the reason for that is because to your point, every OEM, every automaker has an app today. has an app. has an app. has an app. I can go on and on. So we actually have 14 different apps that you can use at . But none of them are IONNA. And on top of that, every, every charging station has a credit card reader on it. Um, and we've got, you know, uh, plug and charge and auto charge with, you know, a significant number of OEMs even beyond just our 8, right? So we have the 8 investors that we've turned on plug and charge for most of them, the rest coming very soon, but we've also turned on—
So that means, so just, just to, just to clarify for listeners, that means I can just drive up, grab the charger, stick it in my car. and it recognizes my car and will charge it to my account without my scanning anything or tapping it or doing anything.
Exactly. OpinionA frictionless experience for drivers.
From there to . , who I've been wanting to talk to for years, ran that country's transition to 98% renewables. Here he is on how he got every political party Well, one of the most sort of fascinating, at least from where I'm standing here in the United States, sort of baffling aspects of all this is you came in in a majority government. You had a political majority, but the president pushed you to basically generate political unity on this, to create a plan that every political party would sign off on, basically so that these changes would be enduring and steady over time. And of course, I'm sure any country would love to have political unity to make their plans enduring over time. But how in the world did you get everyone from every side of politics to sign off on these very ambitious plans?
Well, this was one of the 2 or 3 most important issues that allows us to make this transition because yes, what is happening for the last 20 years in our Western democracies is that we're going from one government to another government and things change dramatically.
30‑Year Energy Planning 24:21
Patrick Miller explains a reverse‑engineered, long‑term framework that imagines the power sector 30 years ahead to guide present decisions.
Yes.
OpinionAnd even it's even worse because the energy sector is in a way politicized and ideologized. Which means that you put the ideology in that which is a technical and economical environmental discussion, which in fact has no meaning at all. So what I did is when the president asked me to lead a technical and political committee trying to figure out a long-term solution or long-term transition or a new framework for the energy sector in the country, my proposal was let's try to discuss what the benefits are for our constituencies, no matter if they vote right or left or center or whatever. I mean, what are the benefits of going to one direction or the other? And the crucial point was, let us not begin discussing about what we should do today, not even next year, not even during this government. Let's try to imagine how we can think the country should be in 30 years from now. So we are thinking about 30 years in the future. Everything becomes much more simple when we discuss because If you're asking about what we should do now or next year, your first thoughts are, and what am I gaining or losing in this direction? Should I have more and less power? Should I have more and less votes? Should I have more and less money? But if you're discussing about the future, the real future, you don't imagine yourself 30 years in the future. I mean, it's simple to discuss how you can imagine the country if you're not in this imagination. So it was not that difficult to imagine the country that we would like to have 30 years in the future concerning the power sector. And then we make a kind of reverse engineering. So if we have to be in 30, you have to be in this point, where should we be in 25 years? And when in 20? And when in 15? And then when we're going back and back, it was becoming a little bit more difficult. But at the end of the day, if we all want to face on this imagined future, then we have to take decision now. And this was the way that we built an overall agreement. But once again, the most important thing was that we build it according to the benefits of the new system we bring to our citizens. And this was the crucial issue.
Well, speaking of that, I'm curious what role, if any, climate change played in that discussion. Was that a big part of the puzzle or were you focused more on just basic financial and security benefits? What was the sort of discussion like?
FactIt was one of the most important points, but not the most important one. The point at that time, and now it's much, much simpler, but at that time, the point is that for any country, but particularly for a country, oil-importer country, a gas-import country, the most important was try to have the basis of our system based on our own national resources. Because if you have your own national resources, you don't have to depend on fluctuation of energy commodity prices. Right. Or decision of wars or whatever decision that you cannot take, but others take for you and you have to pay for the consequences of that. And renewables for us was for sure the best option because renewables, you are not dependent on an energy commodity price. You are much less vulnerable to this geopolitical events all over the world and around your own national resources. So you are much more sovereign and much more independent, much more stabilized as an energy system.
Also this month, of PG&E on the question I end up asking every utility eventually, which is, why would you ever adopt something that saves money? Well, this brings me to my final question. Quinn, maybe this is where you're going, but this is probably the question that my listeners have been waiting for me to ask this whole, this whole hour, which is if the utility spends a capital dollar on a pole and a wire, they spend a large chunk of money and they get a guaranteed rate of return on it. They make money that way. Whereas if you come in with some digital solution and you say, here's a super cheap software-based solution that can help you avoid the need for that pole and that wire, look, you can save money. A normal business would be like, oh good, I get to save money. But a utility business, if they save that money, makes less money. You know, this is something we come back to again and again and again on this pod. OpinionThe utility wants to spend money. That's how they make money. And almost everything we are talking about under the heading of innovation is one way or another something that avoids the need to spend a bunch of CapEx on big infrastructure, i.e., something that is going to reduce an investor-owned utility's Profits. And I just don't know, it just seems to me like the very basic business model we're talking about here, the very basic regulatory structure of these utilities is working against innovation almost intrinsically. How do you get around that, I guess is my question. Like, how do you work around that very basic mismatch of incentives?
Utility Incentives & AI Flexibility 29:59
Quinn Nakayama discusses how utility capital‑spending incentives clash with innovation, then Varun Sivaram describes tagging AI workloads for grid‑friendly flexibility.
I would say there's a couple things here. One is that used to be the case. And I would say that if you take a look at a lot of the utilities that had 0 to 2% flat growth in their utility sector and they weren't building a lot of infrastructure and all of them would be like, yeah, let's do more capital. We need to figure out how to get a rate of return. That may have been the case in a lot of utilities in the past. Now all these utilities, including ourselves, are like, we need to get rid of some of this capital because we can't spend it all. Without really ballooning rates. Like if there are ways that we can defer capital spend, if there are ways that we can have alternative ways.
It may be in California, Quinn, but look out at the country. Like I see utility executives just like drunk on this. They're like, heck yeah. Like you want us to build a lot? We're going to build all we can build. We're super excited to spend CapEx. We're super to spend more and more like And I'm not sure that the political blowback has fully reached them yet or like changed their mindset yet.
I would say there was a swing where all of these data centers happened very quickly that caused all this infrastructure to build, that we built out, that then caused this lag on the generation side. And, you know, more broadly, it was just, it just happened a lot faster than a lot of folks could react to. But if you think that this whole politics on raising rates and the blowout that's happening on rate side isn't on the top of executives' minds across the entire nation. I think that's just not true. And I think the reason why is that, listen, utilities actually don't want legislation coming into their area. I don't think that they actually, utilities writ large, because you have Everybody commenting into areas that maybe people are not as well informed into. And the utility space is very complicated. It's an engineering nightmare. It's, you gotta think about protection, you gotta think about a whole bunch of other type of things. And so I would say that most utilities out there, most utility executives are very concerned about customer affordability. They just need to figure out how exactly do they incorporate all of this AI data center related large growth that's happening super fast. without coming across as being obstructionist toward that growth. And at the same time, figuring out how to do this with less capital. I feel like, you know, that pendulum is vastly swinging the other direction now. We have way too much capital everywhere. And wildfire, by the way, is not just a California problem. I don't know if you've seen, but there's wildfires happening everywhere.
Yes, I know.
So like hardening infrastructure for capital, everybody's going to be coming out of their ears with capital. Now it's going to be about how do you do you, how do you meet these objectives that you have on these really big ambitions that the state has on low growth the state might have on wildfire-related risk or whatever other catastrophes that they're having with the changed climate that's already out there. And then trying to do all of that with less money because the rate blowback is just going to be too big. I think that in order for us to do this effectively though, I think we need to figure out how to take some of these O&M-related expenses
Operation and management.
Operation and management-related expenses and figure out how to peanut butter them a little bit more across a broader range of time, which smells like capital. But what I'm just trying to say is that when you have an operations and maintenance-related expense, it hits the ratepayer the next year, right?
Yeah.
FactA capital project that's $300 million that's spread over 40 years hits the ratepayer much less over a long period of time. That's why I think even in a utility such as California, we don't want a lot of O&M expenses on our books just because next year that's gonna hit your rates. And a capital project can spend a lot more money, but hit the ratepayers very fractionally as rate-making occurs in all of our areas. So that's just something to consider. It doesn't really necessarily have to do with a rate of return.
After that, of on making data centers flex down for the grid and who eats it when that goes wrong. I have some questions about just the computing front. So one of the things your framework has is these tiers of computing workloads. There are jobs that Can't be touched, that have to run all the time. There are jobs that can tolerate 10% throughput loss, 25%, 50%. There's these tiers. So one of my questions is, who decides what's in what tier? Is that something that the owners of the compute tell you, or is that something that analyzes the compute and makes its own judgments about what is and isn't movable and controllable? Where do the tiers come from?
That's a great question, Dave. It's the heart of what we're doing, which is serving both sides at the same time, the energy grid's needs and the AI customers' needs. Look, at the end of the day, AI customers are doing the most economically important work in America, right? Generating valuable tokens of artificial intelligence. And you don't want to mess with that in a way that's going to degrade their expected quality of service. And so, yes, today for our commercial-scale deployments, FactWe receive tags from the customers, the users of AI compute, tagging which of their jobs has which flexibility parameter. And it's more than just, you know, this can be flexed and this cannot be. Some jobs, a benchmarking run, for example, you really can't downclock the clock frequency of the GPU because it'll mess with the benchmarking run. Some jobs, a fine-tuning run, they can be deferred. They could also be downclocked. But some particular workloads, like a serving inference job, really can't be downclocked or paused because the user expects an answer within a latency bound, and perhaps that needs to be geo-shifted. So within different priority tiers, you know, low, medium, high, or on a scale of 0 to 100, as well as across different characteristics, preemptibility, throttleability, the ability to be paused and checkpointed, or the ability to be moved within residency requirements. It's a complicated set of constraints, and we feed this in through what we call the normalizer. to turn it into actions that we can take, and then our AI agents take the actions.
Responsibility for AI job errors 36:38
David asks who is liable when mislabelled AI compute jobs cause failures or unexpected results.
Well, I'm sort of, I mean, one of the things I wonder is if somebody gets that wrong, who's responsible? Like who's holding the bag at the end of the day? Like if you could downclock the power, a job slows down. And for some reason that someone didn't anticipate that breaks the job or doesn't get the result it wants, or there's an unanticipated result. Is that just On the compute load for mislabeling its job or who's responsible if something goes wrong with the jobs?
Yeah, great question, Dave. And I'll use this to mention, you know, this is high stakes, high reward in kind of 3 different dimensions. Number one, it's massively high reward because if we make this all work, we can fit 100 gigawatts, as you mentioned from the paper, Factwe can fit 100 gigawatts of AI data centers onto the grid that we didn't think we could fit. And we'll walk through the benefits of that. So massive reward. High stakes though is on both sides. If you don't do this right, the grid could face reliability issues. On the other side, if you don't do this right, the AI customers might face failed expectations again for the most economically valuable work in America. And the third dimension, of course, is a security dimension. OpinionAI data centers becoming energy technologies and this fusion of AI and the energy system where we sit at the interface is a potential security threat, right? These are 2 massive multi-trillion dollar networks that are critical infrastructure for America's economy. It's the backbone of our future economy. And so we've got to make sure that we're doing all of this in a very safe way that protects the reliability of the grid, is resilient to intruders or threats from abroad and domestically, and protects the integrity of the AI workloads. Your specific question, Dave, is who pays if there's a screw-up? And the answer to that specific question lies in the contracting, right? There will be, depending on the context, the grid, if they're offering you a faster connection, they may say, you know what, if you don't curtail your power when we ask you to, there may be a financial penalty or there may even be a technical penalty. I'll flip your breaker.
And finally, Trump used the Defense Production Act, a 1941 war powers law, to force a ruptured California oil pipeline back online for one of his donors. of the discusses whether the next administration should hand that tool back. Run us through the case just so we can have the context for what we're talking about here. Just briefly talk about the role of the DPA in that case.
Yeah. So as you established in your introduction, this is a case that has been kicking around, you know, California courts for
years now. And a company, . Sable is a Texas company that was involved in the offshore oil industry in California. And they had been tied up in litigation in California, you know, for about the last decade trying to get approval to restart production out there. When Trump comes back into office, they start floating the idea of using this sort of FDR-era tool, you know, Defense Production Act, which had its roots in the Second War Powers Act of 1941 under the Roosevelt administration, that gives government all this power to not only prioritize governmental contracts, but actually to reorient the structure of contracts, even in private markets. And so that's what Trump did here. He basically said any companies that can help Sable produce oil in California need to prioritize contracts for Sable in order to get that going as quickly as possible. And, you know, this is something that the DPA is a tool that the Pentagon uses a lot for defense and national security purposes. But this is one of the more ambitious uses, again, sort of really going back to, you know, the mid-20th century in doing it for a non-national security purpose, really just more to benefit an individual fossil producer. It will have some impact on oil prices, which is ostensibly sort of the nexus here that merits DPA use, but not very much. I mean, Opinionit really is more of a handout to one of the president's campaign contributors. And so, you know, what the argument that we make in several Roosevelt pieces is that this precedent has now been set to use the DPA for clean as well. If it can be used for fossil for these purposes, then it can be used in an even smarter fashion for clean purposes. And, you know, I think that, for instance, some of the hiccups in the offshore wind industry sort of around 2023 would have looked very different if the federal government was stepping in to actually solve Some of the supply chain and other challenges that Ørsted and some of these companies had.
I mean, the question I wanted to ask is that the provenance of the DPA is sort of contested. It's in court right now. There was a, you know, one judge said basically, yes, you can use it to override California law and regulation, but that's going to go to the . And there's some speculation in your volume and elsewhere that if that gets affirmed, if a judge says, yes, the DPA can override state law, that the Trump administration is just kind of gonna go on a bender overriding all kinds of California state laws and other state laws in other states, doing whatever it wants on the basis of the DPA. And so I guess I would just sort of ask flatly, do you want the Ninth Circuit to uphold this judgment and affirm that the DPA can override state policy? Like if you had your druthers, Is this an affirmative good or are you just talking about making the best out of something bad that's happened? Do you know what I mean? Like, would you actually want the DPA to be used this way and to be affirmed as capable of being used this way?
It's a totally fair question and I am of two minds on it. You know, I think on the one hand, in the very near term, it is obviously troubling the way that the Trump administration is using not only the DPA, but earlier the International Economic Emergency Powers Act to impose tariffs. You know, he's using a lot of the best of the New Deal legacy to hammer home things that are sort of narrow and shortsighted and to benefit his campaign donors. You know, as someone who's worked a long time at the , it gives me no joy at all that it's Trump rather than Biden that is using these authorities to the maximum. On the other hand, in part because of all of these problems and weaknesses in our democracy and the fact that, you know, a single senator from a single state can block all sorts of policy from going forward and that, you know, filibuster rules make it really hard to do anything other than tax credits, right? We have all these kinds of fundamental problems in our system and tools like the DPA or the International Emergency Economic Powers Act give the executive branch a way to move forward, even when Congress is being obstinate. So, you know, I think what we argue for in this volume is that if these tools are going to be on the table, Opinionwe need to get rid of this asymmetry where, you know, right-wing anti-climate governments use their powers to the hilt. But when progressive governments are in power, they sort of hold themselves back in the name of these outdated norms.
All right. That's August. 8 hours of conversation down to about 40 minutes, which is either a public service or a crime against nuance, depending on your view. Every one of those episodes is sitting in the feed in full. So if something caught your ear, go listen to the whole thing. And keep telling me whether this is working. The notes after the July episode are the reason this one exists. If there's a conversation where you'd have clipped something else, say which one. And if there's something else we could do to make all this content useful to you, let us know. Back to full-length episodes next week. Thanks as always for making this possible. See you next time. See you next time.
“At the, the cases that we looked at, it was 30% of local peak demand within that particular region.”
A single hyperscale campus can represent 30% of local peak demand, triggering capacity market events.
“That is the core theme that ultimately this comes down to who's taking on the risk and who's capturing the value.”
The central issue is who bears the risk and who captures the value.
“We can enforce certain rules on how code is developed and what's, you know, certain, like transparency of the code.”
Suggests imposing rules for code transparency and development to improve inverter security.
“The cost in our area is around $550,000 on average for a single-family dwelling.”
Average single‑family home prices in Idaho are about $550,000.
“cannot find a studio apartment that costs less than my mortgage for a 4‑bedroom house.”
Studio rentals in Boise can be pricier than a mortgage on a larger home.
“Let's take a 100‑year‑old gas station and make it the service station of the future.”
IONNA converted a century‑old gas station into a modern charging hub.
“the one thing you don't do is download an IONNA app because there is no IONNA app.”
IONNA does not provide its own mobile app.
“A frictionless experience for drivers.”
The charging process is designed to be seamless for users.
“If you're discussing about the future, the real future, you don't imagine yourself 30 years in the future.”
He argues that focusing on a distant future simplifies decision‑making for the energy sector.
“Renewables for us was for sure the best option because renewables, you are not dependent on an energy commodity price.”
He claims renewables make the energy system less vulnerable to commodity price fluctuations.
“The utility wants to spend money. That's how they make money.”
He observes that investor‑owned utilities profit by investing in capital‑intensive infrastructure.
“A capital project that's $300 million that's spread over 40 years hits the ratepayer much less over a long period of time.”
Capital projects amortized over decades affect customer rates far less than immediate O&M expenses.
“We receive tags from the customers, the users of AI compute, tagging which of their jobs has which flexibility parameter.”
AI customers label each job with flexibility tags that inform the system’s workload‑tier decisions.
“we can fit 100 gigawatts of AI data centers onto the grid that we didn't think we could fit.”
AI data centers could consume up to 100 GW of power if fully integrated into the grid.
“AI data centers becoming energy technologies and this fusion of AI and the energy system where we sit at the interface is a potential security threat, right?”
The merging of AI workloads with the power grid creates a new security vulnerability.
“it really is more of a handout to one of the president's campaign contributors.”
The use of the DPA for the Sable pipeline is seen as a political favor rather than a national‑security measure.
“we need to get rid of this asymmetry where, you know, right-wing anti-climate governments use their powers to the hilt. But when progressive governments are in power, they sort of hold themselves back”
Tools like the DPA should be applied evenly, not just by conservative administrations.